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Entering this game with a run of four straight defeats, one of the worst teams in the Western Conference is only serving to further solidify its position. The Spurs are currently enjoying a nine-game winning run at home. To make the most accurate projections, we'll attempt to determine each team's advantages and disadvantages.
In the 49 previous meetings between the two clubs, Miami has prevailed 26 times and San Antonio 23 times. It's also important to remember that Miami has won seven of the previous eight official encounters.
After winning three of their previous four games and ending a seven-game winning run, Miami is gradually gathering steam. Erik Spoelstra's team destroyed its opponent 121-95 in yesterday's game against Orlando, turning in one of their greatest performances of the year. Furthermore, Miami has allowed its opponents to score up to 106 points per game (101.5 points per game on average) while remaining dependable at the hoop in each of its previous four games.
The happiness of San Antonio supporters was short-lived: Following unexpected victories over Minnesota (113-112) and Portland (116-100), the club played four games and dropped all of them. The Spurs' most recent game, on February 4, against Cleveland, was a total bust: they lost by a score of 16 points (101-117) on their court. Furthermore, the squad is struggling mightily with its own shot realization. Greg Popovich's team hasn't scored more than 120 points per game since mid-January (a 123-133 loss to Philadelphia in that game).
The Heat have defeated strong opponents like Sacramento and Orlando with impressive performances in their most recent games, and it is obvious that they have no intention of stopping there. Miami has an even greater responsibility to defeat the Western Conference's worst club.