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The Green Bay Packers will attempt to maintain their winning streak against the Las Vegas Raiders when they travel to Allegiant Field for Monday Night Football in NFL Week 5. The Packers, with a current record of 2-2, have not suffered a defeat at the hands of the Raiders since 1987, boasting eight consecutive victories in their matchups. Their most recent encounter took place in 2019, with Green Bay securing a 42-24 win at Lambeau Field. Both teams are entering Monday Night Football in Las Vegas following losses within their respective divisions. The Raiders, at 1-3, lost a road battle against the Los Angeles Chargers in the AFC West last Sunday, while the Packers succumbed to a 34-20 loss at home to the Detroit Lions in Week 4's Thursday Night Football. There is uncertainty surrounding the availability of Packers running back Aaron Jones (hamstring) and Raiders receiver Davante Adams (shoulder).
Green Bay has posted a 3-1 record against the spread this season, consistently playing as underdogs, and holds a 7-2 record against the number in their previous nine games. They are currently on a six-game winning streak in Monday Night Football and are in better health than they have been all year.
While Packers quarterback Jordan Love has faced some challenges, the return of receiver Christian Watson last week could boost their offense. Watson averaged 14.9 yards per catch and scored seven touchdowns last season. The Raiders, on the other hand, have struggled with turnovers, giving the ball away 10 times while only managing to secure one takeaway, resulting in the worst turnover margin in the NFL. Additionally, the hosts have allowed 11 sacks over their last two games, and Green Bay's Rashan Gary (3.5 sacks) and Devonte Wyatt (2.5 sacks) have the ability to apply pressure.
Las Vegas has a strong record of 5-1 against the spread in their last six Monday night games. The return of Garoppolo should be a positive development, as rookie Aidan O'Connell threw an interception inside the five-yard line last week when the Raiders were on the verge of a potential tying score. Garoppolo has completed 68% of his passes for 709 yards. While Davante Adams is dealing with a shoulder injury, he is determined to play against the team he spent eight seasons with and has accumulated 397 receiving yards this season, averaging 99.3 yards per game.
The Raiders are likely to heavily rely on their running game, led by Josh Jacobs, the 2022 NFL rushing champion. Jacobs recorded 1,653 rushing yards in 2022 and gained 139 total yards along with a touchdown in last week's game against the Chargers. Although he is currently averaging just 2.7 yards per carry, he had an impressive 81 receiving yards in Week 4. The Packers, however, have struggled defensively against the run, allowing 4.5 yards per carry (ranked 25th in the NFL) and possessing the third-worst run defense in the league, allowing an average of 155 yards per game.
Jimmy Garoppolo was sidelined in Week 4 due to a concussion, but he's back as the starting quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in their Week 5 matchup against the Green Bay Packers on Monday Night Football. In this article, we analyze this game and share our insights for betting.
The NFL Week 5 schedule concludes with a non-conference clash as the Green Bay Packers head to Las Vegas to face the Raiders on Monday Night Football.
The Las Vegas team is going through a rough patch, having lost three consecutive games after winning their season opener. However, the return of quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo, who missed Week 4 due to a concussion, has shifted the NFL odds for this game, making the Silver and Black the favorites at home.
Green Bay has also been dealing with injuries during their 2-2 start to the season, but they have the advantage of extended rest after their last game on Thursday. Nevertheless, they still have uncertainties surrounding key players and some gaps in the offensive line.
Jimmy Garoppolo is back as the Raiders' quarterback after his absence in Week 4 due to a concussion. His performance in the first three games with the Silver and Black was inconsistent, but in his last appearance in Week 3, he threw for an impressive 324 passing yards against the Steelers.
For Week 5, Jimmy Garoppolo's passing yards odds are set at 239.5 at FanDuel, and several factors are influencing this total, though their impact may change by Monday.
One factor affecting Garoppolo's passing yards is the status of star wide receiver Davante Adams, who is listed as questionable for the Monday game. While Adams was limited in practice on Saturday, reports suggest that his injury is not a major concern, and he is expected to play against his former team.
Another factor influencing Garoppolo's passing yards prop is the Green Bay Packers' passing defense, which has been relatively effective in the first four games, ranking 11th in yards allowed through the air and limiting opposing quarterbacks in terms of depth of target.
However, when you examine the quality of opposing quarterbacks the Packers have faced, it becomes evident that they haven't faced a highly challenging passing attack. The Packers' defense went up against Justin Fields in Week 1, Desmond Ridder in Week 2, and Derek Carr (and a bit of Jameis Winston) in Week 3. In their last game, they faced Jared Goff and the Lions, but the Lions had more success on the ground, so they didn't need to pass as much.
While the Packers' Expected Points Added (EPA) per dropback ranks 12th lowest in the league, their secondary has struggled to stop opposing teams, allowing a 47.5% success rate on passes (ranked 21st). On the other hand, the Raiders, despite ranking 19th in EPA per dropback, have the seventh-highest passing success rate at 49.7%, which increases to 51.8% when Garoppolo is throwing. The Raiders are gaining more significant yardage, leading the league in completed air yards per attempt. Garoppolo is also building chemistry with his new receiving corps, who expressed the importance of his return in Week 4.
